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衰退来了?不要担心
这张图在说什么?
投资者不应只见树木不见森林。有关衰退的言论往往会引发人们对未来更艰难时期的担忧,并会吓得投资者在更艰难时期到来之前抛售股票。但看看图表,历史已经(一次又一次)证明,股市在衰退后会带来正回报。表格的左边部分显示了经济衰退后标普500指数的表现。平均而言,市场在衰退后的一年(Plus 1 Year)回报率为15%,在5年后(Plus 5)回报率超过100%。
总而言之:
衰退作为经济周期的一部分,是不可避免的。投资者不应该担心经济衰退,而应该以史为鉴,并心怀希望地认定正回报在等待着那些有长远眼光的投资者。而且看得越远,回报往往就越好。
所以,静观其变,停止忧虑。